Germaine Watts
September 07, 2018

BTOES EXCLUSIVE SLIDE DECK: Predictive People Analytics: A Game-Changer for Improving Organizational Performance?

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Courtesy of Ensentious'Predictive People Analytics: A Game-Changer for Improving Organizational Performance?' Germaine Watts has written an article to introduce her presentation on P Management: 

Download the presentation slides here

Strong performance and continual improvement are the lifeblood of every organization. Seen from a very high level, the goals (e.g. productivity), the issues challenging performance (e.g. silos), and the improvement strategies (e.g., leadership development) used by organizations to achieve results are very similar. As such, it isn’t surprising that a single unresolved factor - like employee disengagement - can drain hundreds of billions of dollars year after year from global economies. What is somewhat surprising is that little progress has been made at effectively addressing this performance draining reality.

There is no doubt that leadership development, culture work, process improvement, digital transformation, all add value to an organizations improvement effort, but they do not directly acknowledge the root cause of employee malaise - organizations are ‘human systems’ first and foremost. Human systems are the intelligent, adaptive, creative, present-moment dimension of every organization that is a product of the meaning-making, propensities, competencies, behaviours and power relations of all its members. While abstract, understanding employee disengagement from this perspective, leads to very different questions about what is going on, and what might need to change to bring about better outcomes.

Intuitively we understand that the health, efficacy, and engagement of the workforce depends on multiple levels of ‘fit’: person-task, person-team, talent-team/unit/level fit, and workforce-strategy/culture fit. Much evidence points to misalignment at these different levels of fit: turnover, team conflict, poor internal customer relations, to name but a few. While many factors have contributed to this, traditional resourcing practices have played an important, albeit unwitting role. Reliance on advancement-seeking and self-selling of past performance by candidates has made conventional resourcing practices ill-equipped to ensure situational excellence – the capacity to do what is needed in an unplanned moment. Behavioural suitability has more to say about the likelihood of demonstrating situational excellence than does past performance except in identical circumstances, which is rarely the case given that candidates are almost always looking to take on new opportunities when changing jobs. In short, the level of discernment made possible by traditional resourcing practices has relatively limited predictive power.

In contrast, Category 1 psychometrics that can provide valid information on the passion, potential, personality, task suitability, promotability and development potential of talent. As such, they are a game changer with implications that go far beyond a ‘new way to do recruitment and selection’. They provide a different way to think about the building blocks of organizational performance.

Individual Agility

Optimal individual performance results when a person’s propensities (i.e., preferences to reason, relate and act in particular ways and succeed at particular activities) match the challenges they are presented with (ensuring individual suitability) and when the propensities of the people around the person are conducive to their success. The reason for this is simple. Behavioural propensities behave lawfully - shared high preferences amplify, shared low preferences suppress, and opposing propensities blend, interfere, and even repel. Some types of propensities create bonds, strengthen reciprocity, maintain coherence, while others are more useful for establishing direction, bringing momentum, and being impactful. Depending on how propensities form around a person, they may be helped or hindered in their capacity to function at their best.

Team Agility

The ongoing interplay of propensities in human systems creates functionalities i.e., capacities to perform a task or fulfill an intended purpose. Teamwork is one functionality of a group but is not sufficient per se, to ensure team success. A group can have healthy team dynamics and not possess the functionalities required to fulfill the scope of its mandate. By looking at a team’s aggregated propensity data, strengths and challenges at a higher-order unit of productivity become evident – and potentially more manageable. Understanding organizational performance challenges from this perspective relieves the chronic pressure on leadership to solve all ills and begins to shift the conversation beyond one of leadership style to one of leadership functionality within a structure.

Structural Agility

Different levels of an organization’s structure are intended to contribute differently. At the extreme, organizations are endeavoring to make forays into new territories at the top, to detailed follow-up with individual customers at the front line. Ensuring that the aggregate propensity profiles of different levels of leadership within a structure are in line with the required functionality of that level is a significant performance improvement opportunity.

To make this tangible, consider the perennial challenge of micromanagement. In essence, it is what happens when different levels of management are engaging in the same activities i.e., when mid-level managers are engaging with day-to-day details, interfering with frontline supervisors’ role, thereby undermining their direct reports and distracting themselves from fulfilling their primary responsibilities for program, process, technology integration across the system.

A growing body of research clearly points to distinctly different propensity profiles being required at different management levels, thereby ensuring that individuals are predisposed to work within their own appropriate sphere of activities to make the structure work as intended.

Workforce Agility

Needless to say, aggregate propensities also have profound insight to offer into an organization’s capacity. Homogeneity of propensities readily builds up in organizations. It is both their strength and their Achilles heel because it contributes to collective self- affirmation of particular views and behaviours. To the extent that the behaviours are aligned with an organization’s purpose and mission, they enhance efficacy. However, when it comes to bringing about changes in direction or strategy, the mutual reinforcement inherent in this homogeneity can become a barrier. Understanding how well the deeply- held predispositions of a workforce align with the demands of a given strategy is an important feasibility review that few organizations contemplate but would answer many questions about why strategy implementations often fail.

Leadership Agility

Possibly the most important place to consider the functionalities being enabled by a group’s aggregate propensity profile is at the executive level. Organization effectiveness demands that executive teams have the range of motion to effectively demonstrate diverse functionalities e.g., from financial management of the business to socio-cultural leadership of the organization. These functionalities are the product of very different propensity profiles. The superior results enjoyed by high performing female CEOs is in part attributable to this form of ambidexterity which increases their leadership agility in important ways.

Using Propensity Management to Improve the Human System

It has been recognized for some time that organizational factors play a larger role in explaining performance failures than do individual capabilities or actions. Aggregate propensity dynamics point to why. Behavior is a function of personal preferences and prevailing propensity patterns surrounding the individual. Critically and financially oriented reasoning will produce different conditions and outcomes than, for example, more innovation and relationally oriented reasoning. Each will bringing its own strength and challenge to an organization’s performance capacity.

Propensity ManagementTM provides a way to understand and work with organizational performance at this deeper level. It expands focus from informing, monitoring, and controlling performers, to systematically designing the performance capability of the human system:

  • At the job level, to screen for behavioral trait profiles that are essential to high performance under normal and adverse operating conditions.
  • At the team level, to design for healthy team dynamics, as well as the behavioral propensities needed for the group to deliver against its mandate.
  • At an aggregated level, to understand the cultural predispositions, performance potential, and adaptive capabilities of units, levels, and entire structures.

Equally importantly, Propensity Management makes it possible for organizations to make talent decisions that substantially meet the intrinsic motivation and growth needs of individuals while simultaneously addressing performance and adaptiveness requirements for jobs, teams and other structures. This is a clear win-win from an employee engagement perspective.

Propensity Management enables organizations to use existing propensities more efficiently, to strategically amplify propensities with positional power to strengthen functionalities, and even to design strategies around extant propensities thereby reducing reliance on behaviour development programs with limited ROI. It also helps organizations recognize when they will need to acquire propensities to increase the probability of successful strategy execution.

Like any other systemic improvement methodology, Propensity Management takes time and effort to get established in an organization. At a very high level, the steps include:

  • Gathering workforce propensity data using an appropriate predictive behavioral analytic
  • Providing feedback to individuals
  • Analyzing aggregate data by teams/functions/levels
  • Identifying amplifications, blind spots, etc.
  • Defining functionality requirements of structures
  • Making systematic improvements through such methods as intentional teaming, training, development, redeployment, and workforce diversification

This approach to enhancing performance is most suited to organizations that are ripe with well-organized performance data and that have experience thinking systemically. In other words, organizations that are using formalized continual improvement methods and are ready to take on the challenge of improving the most important system – the human system.


Propensity management offers a rigorous new way for organizations to understand and improve performance. By using high quality predictive people analytics, leaders can strengthen organizational functionality while meeting the performance capacities, realistic career aspirations, and growth needs of their members. More specifically, organizations can re-engage the workforce by making talent management decisions that substantially meet the intrinsic motivation of individuals while simultaneously addressing the performance requirements for jobs, teams, and other structures. Call it a win-win. 

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About Ensentious

Ensentious (former Intelligent Organizational Systems) is a Management Consulting firm that helps organizations address the scourge of workplace disengagement. They provide a user-friendly framework and methodology for improving situational excellence, so people can exercise mindful choice about how to address the performance requirements of jobs, teams, and other structures while simultaneously meeting the motivational needs of individuals. It has had considerable benefits with operational excellence since they embarked on this journey several years ago, but how have they sustained this in the organization? Download this slide deck to see Germaine Watts discuss their journey, and learn about the impact of mega change trends on the ‘human system’ in your organization. 


About the Author

germaine watts picture newGermaine Watts is the co-founder of the niche consulting firm Ensentious (former Intelligent Organizational Systems), where she advises senior leaders on the design, management, and resourcing of purpose-driven organizations. She has pioneered new organization improvement strategies using aggregate behavioral propensity data to understand workforce strengths, challenges, and performance potential. 

Moreover, she has travelled extensively as an expert lecturer on safety culture and management systems on behalf of the International Atomic Energy Agency. Prior to her international consulting career, she held leadership positions in Nuclear Power and Healthcare, where she directed talent management, leadership development and performance improvement initiatives

What is more, she has long been captivated by “how we work inside”, how thoughts, feelings, and perceptions shape our states of being, relationships with others, and our impact and success in the world.  She has had the privilege of engaging people from all over the world in thought-provoking explorations of what gives meaning and purpose to their lives.

These slides were first presented at the Business Transformation and Operational Excellence World Summit (BTOES). To learn more, please visit

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